Tire Successor Initiative (TSI) Forecast Summit Meeting December
41 Slides1.13 MB
Tire Successor Initiative (TSI) Forecast Summit Meeting December 18, 2012
Agenda 1. Introduction 2. Vehicle (Ground) Tires Trend Fast Facts Demand Forecast Q&A 3. Aircraft Tires Trend Fast Facts Demand Forecast Q&A 10-0926 4. Upcoming Events 5. Conclusion 2 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire Successor Initiative (TSI) Vehicle (Ground) Tires
Demand Forecast – Vehicle (Ground) Tires - Actual/Forecast -Trend Ground Tire History and Forecast with Trend 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 10-0926 4 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential 41913 41852 41791 41730 41671 41609 41548 41487 41426 41365 41306 41244 41183 41122 41061 41000 40940 40878 40817 40756 40695 40634 40575 40513 40452 40391 40330 40269 40210 40148 0
Tire NSN 2610-01-333-7632 (37x12.50R16.5LT) Fast Facts 10-0926 5 Forecast Method - Seasonal Supplier – Goodyear (GY) Split Award – N/A Weight – 80 lbs. Major Ordering DODAACs Buckhannon, WV (Army NG) Saudi Arabia (FMS) Kuwait (FMS) End Use HMMWV (L/R “D”) Demand CONUS - 66% OCONUS - 8% CENTCOM - 2% FMS - 24% Inventory - NSN TX 2610-01-333-7632 1,408 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential KU 545 InTransit On Order 0 470
Tire NSN 2610-01-333-7632 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 10-0926 12 12 11 12 12 12 12 l-12 -12 -12 t-12 -12 -12 -13 -13 r-13 r-13 -13 -13 l-13 -13 -13 t-13 -13 n b c- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- ung p v c a Ap c e ay Jun Ju Aug Sep Oc Nov Ju Au Se A J J O Ja Fe M F M D No De M M 6 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-214-1344 (14.00R20) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method – Seasonal Supplier – MX/GY Split Award – 70% / 30% Weight – 232 lbs. Major Ordering DODAACs Saudi Arabia (FMS) RRAD Camp Shelby, MS End Use M900 Series 5T Truck Demand CONUS – 43% OCONUS – 1% CENTCOM – 1% FMS – 56% 7 Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2610-01-214-1344 4.033 115 0 240 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-214-1344 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 10-0926 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 c- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ov- ec- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ove J A J A A M J J O N D J J O N F M F M A M D S S 8 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-561-7314 (16.00R20) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method – Seasonal Supplier – Michelin Split Award – N/A Weight – 333 lbs Major Ordering DODAACs TARP (Camp Arifjan) MCLB-Albany Kandahar, AF End Use M-ATV; MaxxPro (ISS) Demand CONUS – 33% OCONUS – 4% CENTCOM – 63% FMS – 0% 9 Inventory - NSN TX 2610-01-561-7314 3,368 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential KU 113 InTransit On Order 1,094 1,260
Tire NSN 2610-01-561-7314 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 10-0926 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 -1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c-1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c u u a p c a p c De Ja Fe M A Ma Ju J Au Se O No De Ja Fe M A Ma Ju J Au Se O No 10 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-334-2694 (16.00R20) Fast Facts Inventory - NSN 10-0926 Forecast Method - Seasonal Supplier – MX/GY Split Award – 70% / 30% Weight – 333 lbs. Major Ordering DODAACs TARP (Camp Arifjan) RRAD Saginaw, TX (Army NG) End Use HEMTT;PLS; HET; Buffalo Demand CONUS - 54% OCONUS - 2% CENTCOM – 40% FMS - 4% 11 2610-01-334-2694 TX 714 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential KU 296 InTransit 270 On Order 2,315
Tire NSN 2610-01-334-2694 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 10-0926 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 -1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c-1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c u u a a c c p p A Ma Ju J Au Se O No De Ja Fe M A Ma Ju J Au Se O No De Ja Fe M 12 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-356-9098 (395/85R20) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method - Seasonal Supplier – Goodyear Split Award – N/A Weight – 207 lbs. Major Ordering DODAACs Ft. Hood, TX Camp Carroll, South Korea Ft. Lewis, WA End Use FMTV Demand CONUS – 83% OCONUS – 15% CENTCOM – 1% FMS – 1% 13 Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2610-01-256-9098 1,349 424 120* 0 120 in transit from KW to TX Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-356-9098 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 10-0926 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 c- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ov- ec- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ove J A J A A M A M J J O N J J O N F M F M D S D S 14 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-323-4813 (215/75R17.50) Fast Facts Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2610-01-323-4813 3,783 1,724 0 700 10-0926 Forecast Method – Seasonal Supplier – Michelin Split Award – N/A Weight – 59 lbs Major Ordering DODAACs Barstow (Army DoDAAC) RRAD End Use M1000 - HET Trailer Demand CONUS – 95% OCONUS – 1% CENTCOM – 3% FMS – 2% 15 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-323-4813 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 10-0926 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 c- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ov- ec- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ove J A J A A M A M J J O N J J O N F M F M D S D S 16 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-563-8328 (37X12.50R16.5LT) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method – Seasonal Supplier – Michelin Split Award – N/A Weight – 62 lbs. Major Ordering DODAACs MCLB-Albany TARP (Camp Arifjan) Twentynine Palms, CA End Use HMMWV L/R ‘E’ Demand CONUS – 76% OCONUS – 1% CENTCOM – 23% FMS – 0% 17 Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2610-01-563-8328 1,582 707 0 0 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-563-8328 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 10-0926 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 c- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ov- ec- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ove J A J A A M A M J J O N J J O N F M F M D S D S 18 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-00-262-8677 (9.0-20) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method – Moving Average Supplier – STA Split Award – N/A Weight – 72 lbs Major Ordering DODAACs Saudi Arabia (FMS) LEAD End Use M35 2.5T Truck Demand CONUS – 33% OCONUS – 2% CENTCOM – 1% FMS – 64% 19 Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2610-00-262-8677 1,392 168 0 0 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-00-262-8677 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 10-0926 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 -1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c-1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c u u a a p c p c J Au Se O No De Ja Fe M J Au Se O No A Ma Ju A Ma Ju De Ja Fe M 20 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-439-6224 (LT245/75R16) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method – Seasonal Supplier – B&S Split Award – N/A Weight – 45 lbs Major Ordering DODAACs Al Udeid AB, Qatar Kadena AB, Japan Ramstein AB, Germany End Use OTR Light Truck Demand CONUS – 39% OCONUS – 31% CENTCOM – 28% FMS – 2% 21 Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2610-01-439-6224 878 261 421 850 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-439-6224 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 10-0926 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 -1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c-1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c u u a p c a p c J Au Se O No De Ja Fe M J Au Se O No A Ma Ju A Ma Ju De Ja Fe M 22 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-481-5378 (11.00R22.50) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method – Seasonal Supplier – MX Split Award – N/A Weight – 117 lbs Major Ordering DODAACs TARP (Camp Arifjan) Dyncorp (Contractor) Sierra Army Depot, CA End Use M871 / M915 (Line Haul Tractor) Demand CONUS – 46% OCONUS – 2% CENTCOM – 52% FMS – 0% 23 Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2610-01-481-5378 520 68 145 300 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2610-01-481-5378 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 10-0926 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 c- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ov- ec- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ove J A J A A M A M J J O N J J O N F M F M D S D S 24 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire Successor Initiative Aircraft Tires
Demand Forecast – Aircraft Tires - Actual/Forecast -Trend 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 10-0926 26 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential 41913 41852 41791 41730 41671 41609 41548 41487 41426 41365 41306 41244 41183 41122 41061 41000 40940 40878 40817 40756 40695 40634 40575 40513 40452 40391 40330 40269 40210 40148 0
Tire NSN 2620-01-042-2783 (20x4.4/14) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method – Seasonal Supplier – MX/GY Split Award – 50/50 Weight – 16 lbs Major Ordering DODAACs Sheppard AFB, TX Columbus, MS Laughlin AFB, TX Enid, OK End Use T-38B/T-37, MLG Demand CONUS – 100% OCONUS – 0% CENTCOM – 0% FMS – 0% 27 Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2620-01-042-2783 3,411 0 0 4,750 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-01-042-2783 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 10-0926 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 c- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ov- ec- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ove J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J 28 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-01-277-2690 (27.75x8.75-14.5/24) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method - Seasonal Supplier – MX Split Award – N/A Weight – 52 lbs Major Ordering DODAACs Turkey (FMS) South Korea (FMS) Israel (FMS) End Use F-16 Block 40/50, MLG Demand CONUS – 1% OCONUS – 0% CENTCOM – 0% FMS – 99% 29 Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2620-01-277-2690 2,682 0 0 3,320 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-01-277-2690 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 10-0926 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 c- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ov- ec- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ove J A S J A S J J O N D J J O N F M A M F M A M D 30 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-01-157-3821 (18x5.7-8/18) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method – Seasonal Supplier – MX/GY Split Award – 50/50 Weight – 16 lbs Major Ordering DODAACs Turkey (FMS) Israel (FMS) Luke AFB, AZ End Use F-16, NLG Demand CONUS – 39% OCONUS – 9% CENTCOM – 2% FMS – 50% 31 Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2620-01-157-3821 568 37 0 0 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-01-157-3821 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 10-0926 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 -1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c-1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c u u a a p c p c J J A Ma Ju A Ma Ju De Ja Fe M Au Se O No De Ja Fe M Au Se O No 32 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-01-316-7075 (27.75x8.75R14.5/24) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method – Moving Avg. / Intermittent Supplier – GY Split Award – N/A Weight – 52 lbs Major Ordering DODAACs Kunsan City, South Korea Shaw AFB, SC Luke AFB, AZ Hill AFB, UT Aviano, Italy End Use F-16 Block 40/50, MLG Demand CONUS – 62% OCONUS – 38% CENTCOM – 0% FMS – 0% 33 Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2620-01-316-7075 1,214 0 0 0 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-01-316-7075 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 10-0926 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 -1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c-1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c u u a p c a p c De Ja Fe M A Ma Ju J Au Se O No De Ja Fe M A Ma Ju J Au Se O No 34 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-00-142-5161 (20.00-20/26) 10-0926 35 Fast Facts Forecast Method - Seasonal Supplier – MX/GY Split Award – 70/30 Weight – 273 lbs Major Ordering DODAACs Al Udeid AB, Qatar Little Rock AFB, AR End Use C-130, MLG Demand CONUS – 64% OCONUS – 10% CENTCOM – 16% FMS – 10% Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2620-00-142-5161 365 158 50 1,120 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-00-142-5161 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 10-0926 12 r-12 r-12 -12 -12 l-12 -12 -12 t-12 -12 -12 -13 -13 r-13 r-13 -13 -13 l-13 -13 -13 t-13 -13 11 12 c- an- eba Ap ay Jun Ju Aug Sep Oc Nov Dec Jan Feb Ma Ap ay Jun Ju Aug Sep Oc Nov e J F M D M M 36 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-00-575-8893 (49x17/26) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method – Seasonal Supplier – MX/GY Split Award – 70/30 Weight – 360 lbs Major Ordering DODAACs Al Udeid AB, Qatar Altus AFB, OK McConnell AFB, KS Offutt AFB, NE End Use KC-135, MLG Demand CONUS – 75% CONUS – 9% CENTCOM – 14% FMS – 2% 37 Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2620-00-575-8893 913 102 107 400 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-00-575-8893 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 10-0926 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 c- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ov- ec- an- eb- ar- pr- ay- un- ul- ug- ep- ct- ove J A J A A M A M J J O N J J O N F M F M D S D S 38 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-01-536-6926 (25.5x8.0R14/20) Fast Facts 10-0926 Forecast Method - Seasonal Supplier – GY/MX Split Award – 70/30 Weight – 38 lbs Major Ordering DODAACs Homestead AFB, FL Luke AFB, AZ Tucson, AZ Buckley AFB, CO End Use F-16 Block 10 32, MLG Demand CONUS – 90% OCONUS – 3% CENTCOM – 1% FMS – 6% 39 Inventory - NSN TX KU InTransit On Order 2620-01-536-6926 1,589 38 0 300 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Tire NSN 2620-01-536-6926 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 10-0926 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 -1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c-1 n-1 b-1 r-1 r-1 y-1 n-1 l-1 g-1 p-1 t-1 v-1 c u u a p c a p c J Au Se O No De Ja Fe M J Au Se O No A Ma Ju A Ma Ju De Ja Fe M 40 Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
Related Issues 1. TACOM (Army) MOA Planning Meeting – January 17, 2013 Detroit, MI 2. Tactical Wheeled Vehicle Conference – February 3 – 5, 2013 Monterey, CA 3. Annual Tires Conference 10-0926 – 41 July 2013 – SAIC - Dayton facility Energy Environment National Security Health Critical Infrastructure Proprietary & Confidential Proprietary & Confidential
