Second Chance: Workforce Development in a Tight Labor Market Jeff
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Second Chance: Workforce Development in a Tight Labor Market Jeff Korzenik Managing Director, Chief Investment Strategist
What’s macro is micro 4.5 4.0 4.0 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.0 Percent Potential Labor Force Productivity* Potential Labor Force 2.5 2.5 1.9 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1950-1973 1974-1981 1982-1990 1991-2001 2002-2007 2008-2017 2018-2028 F Source: Congressional Budget Office Compound annual growth rates over the specified periods calculated using calendar year data *The ratio of potential GDP to the potential labor force 2
The workforce challenge: fertility 3
Compounded by the pandemic Older Workers Stay Away Reallocation Friction Augmented Unemployment Benefits Millennial Women & Child-Rearing The Social Ills of post-2009 Return Long-term Unemployment The Opioid Epidemic Criminal Justice Involvement 4
The workforce solution: participation 5
Why this talent pool #1 80,000,000 70,000,000 70,000,000 60,000,000 50,000,000 40,000,000 30,000,000 19,000,000 20,000,000 7,304,910 10,000,000 2,392,589 0 ly nt re r Cu in is pr on on or le ro a p ly nt e rr Cu or ly er m r fo in is pr on on or le ro a p t as p r to n rre Cu y on l fe s is rv e up n io t ac r te In n io th wi e th w la Source: University of Georgia, National Employment Law Project 6
The models of second chance hiring Source: “Untapped Talent: How Second Chance Hiring Works for Your Business and the Community” (HarperCollins Leadership, April 2021) 7
The models of second chance hiring Source: “Untapped Talent: How Second Chance Hiring Works for Your Business and the Community” (HarperCollins Leadership, April 2021) 8
The elements of success Candidate Selection Process True Second Chance Model Employee Support Process Source: “Untapped Talent: How Second Chance Hiring Works for Your Business and the Community” (HarperCollins Leadership, April 2021) 9
The model in practice: “investment” not “cost” Potential partners Potential “gaps” to solve National organizations Time/place to meet with parole officers Local Organizations Transportation American Jobs Centers/Workforce Financial Education Boards Government Mentoring Housing Clothing Cell phone 10
Supplemental models Transitional employment Second chance staffing agencies Incarceration work experience Advanced professional training Entrepreneurship Second chance/at-risk youth internships 11
Bridging the box Low-risk hires Know your felony Connect with second chance pioneers Connect with non-profit partners Review and eliminate vendor restrictions Offer amnesty 12
Key educational resources Getting Talent Back to Work Certification ( https://store.shrm.org/Getting-Talent-Back-to-Work-Certificate) Dave’s Killer Bread Foundation Second Chance Playbook ( https://dkbfoundation.org/playbook-3/) Checkr's Fair Chance Hiring e-book ( https://checkr.com/resources/ebook/decrease-recidivism-with-fair-chance-hiring) Levelset’s “Fair Chance Hiring Assessment” ( https://www.levelset.us/fair-chance-hiring-assessment) 13
https://www.jeffkorzenik.com/books 14
Questions? 15
Disclosures The labor force participation rate is a measure of the economy’s active workforce. It is the sum of all workers who are employed or actively seeking employment divided by the total noninstitutionalized, civilian working-age population. The fertility rate represents the number of children that would be born to a woman if she were to live to the end of her childbearing years and bear children in accordance with current age-specific fertility rates. Opinions are provided by Fifth Third Private Bank, National Association. This information is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute the rendering of investment advice or a specific recommendation on investment activities and trading. The mention of any specific security does not constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security. This information is current as of the date of this presentation and is subject to change at any time, based on market and other conditions. Asset Allocation, Diversification, Alternative Investment and Hedging strategies are intended to mitigate the overall risk within your portfolio. Some strategies may be subject to a higher degree of market risk than others. There are no guarantees that any strategy presented will perform as intended. Indexes are unmanaged and do not incur investment management fees. You cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Fifth Third Private Bank is a division of Fifth Third Bank, National Association, which is an indirect subsidiary of Fifth Third Bancorp. Banking, investment and insurance products and services are offered through or made available by one or more of Fifth Third Bancorp’s indirect subsidiaries. Investments, investment services and insurance: Are Not FDIC Insured Bank through Guaranteed Insurance Products areOffer madeNot available Fifth Third Insurance Agency, Inc. May Lose Value Are Not Insured by Any Federal Government Agency Are Not a Deposit 16